ChipsAndTruths.com · Variance Tool

Long Run vs Short Run Gambling Simulator

Compare how widely short and long samples can swing around the same mathematical expectation.

Fact-first note: More rounds make the average result more stable in proportional terms, while total dollar exposure continues to grow.

Seeded variance comparison

Compare short and long samples

Runtime 1.0.109

Short-run rounds Long-run rounds Simulations per sample Bet ($) Win probability (%) Net payout (:1) Simulation seed

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Theoretical EV per round—

Short theoretical result—

Short mean—

Short median—

Short profitable samples—

Short 10th–90th range—

Long theoretical result—

Long mean—

Long median—

Long profitable samples—

Long 10th–90th range—